INDColts
4-2
35
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
67°F
10 mph
45
KCChiefs
2-4
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
67°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
14
7
35
Chiefs
7
24
0
14
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
505
590
Total Plays
56
77
Yards / Play
9.0
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.42
+0.41
Passing Yards
--
387
Comp/Att
25/44(57%)
27/34(79%)
Yards / Pass
--
11.4
EPA / Pass
+0.57
+0.84
Rushing Yards
33
203
Rush Attempts
12
42
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
33
Passing 1st downs
18
20
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
30%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
100%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-6.15
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-2
Sack EPA
--
-0.97
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
46
Penalty EPA
-4.13
-5.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
29
Yards / Game
2
31
Passing Yards / Game
15
31
Rushing Yards / Game
21
13
EPA
EPA / Play
1
32
EPA / Pass
1
31
EPA / Rush
7
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
23
Interceptions / Game
2
25
Fumbles / Game
9
30
Turnover EPA / Game
30
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
19
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
3
28
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
19
Yards / Game
1
28
Passing Yards / Game
8
32
Rushing Yards / Game
4
26
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
4
25
EPA / Rush
1
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
32
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
25
4th Down Efficiency
29
8
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U