INDColts
13-4
38
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
51°F
13 mph
31
KCChiefs
13-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
51°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
7
10
7
38
Chiefs
3
7
14
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
434
408
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
6.9
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.59
+0.43
Passing Yards
292
--
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.93
+0.52
Rushing Yards
142
196
Rush Attempts
32
30
Yards / Rush
4.4
6.5
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
24
Passing 1st downs
17
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
73%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-1.01
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-0.45
--
Penalties
1
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-2.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
2
29
Passing Yards / Game
6
18
Rushing Yards / Game
19
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
26
EPA / Pass
1
17
EPA / Rush
13
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
30
Interceptions / Game
4
4
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
10
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
19
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
19
1
Rushing Yards / Game
11
20
EPA
EPA / Play
1
29
EPA / Pass
3
18
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
29
Interceptions / Game
2
13
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
32
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
16
4th Down Efficiency
1
31
RZ Efficiency
1
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U