INDColts
4-2
21
TBD
FedExField
55°F
7 mph
26
WASCommanders
2-4
TBD
FedExField
55°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
0
14
21
Commanders
10
13
0
3
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
260
370
Total Plays
56
74
Yards / Play
4.6
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.03
Passing Yards
195
205
Comp/Att
21/33(64%)
17/36(47%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.14
Rushing Yards
65
165
Rush Attempts
20
37
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
55%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.57
-6.00
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-19
-5
Sack EPA
-3.91
-1.13
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
40
30
Penalty EPA
-4.24
-3.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
19
Yards / Game
14
4
Passing Yards / Game
20
16
Rushing Yards / Game
27
12
EPA
EPA / Play
20
6
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
23
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
12
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
17
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
19
2
Commanders Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
11
Yards / Game
21
8
Passing Yards / Game
18
8
Rushing Yards / Game
12
23
EPA
EPA / Play
26
12
EPA / Pass
23
10
EPA / Rush
17
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
23
29
Fumbles / Game
25
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
17
14
RZ Efficiency
6
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U