INDColts
9-2
37
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
10 mph
34
MIADolphins
8-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
11
7
7
6
31
Dolphins
3
7
8
10
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
368
Total Plays
55
60
Yards / Play
6.7
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.01
Passing Yards
234
280
Comp/Att
23/28(82%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.17
Rushing Yards
129
69
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.47
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
25%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
8
13
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-11.16
-16.60
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-19
-14
Sack EPA
-3.98
-4.97
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
89
64
Penalty EPA
-8.46
-4.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
7
5
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
19
13
EPA
EPA / Play
3
10
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
12
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
17
Interceptions / Game
12
14
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
24
RZ Efficiency
19
2
Dolphins Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
17
Yards / Game
23
15
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
24
21
EPA
EPA / Play
25
19
EPA / Pass
26
19
EPA / Rush
25
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
31
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
2
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
22
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U