nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. colts @ dolphins week 13, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

IND logo
INDColts
9-2
37
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
10 mph
34
MIADolphins
8-3
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
75°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
11
7
7
6
31
Dolphins
3
7
8
10
28

Game Statistics

General
Colts logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
370
368
Total Plays
55
60
Yards / Play
6.7
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.01
Passing Yards
234
280
Comp/Att
23/28(82%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.17
Rushing Yards
129
69
Rush Attempts
25
22
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.47
Downs & Conversions
Colts logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
25%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
8
13
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Colts logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-11.16
-16.60
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-19
-14
Sack EPA
-3.98
-4.97
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
89
64
Penalty EPA
-8.46
-4.52

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
IND logo
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Colts Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Colts logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
7
5
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
19
13

EPA

EPA / Play
3
10
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
12
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
17
Interceptions / Game
12
14
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
24
RZ Efficiency
19
2
Dolphins Offense vs Colts Defense
Dolphins logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
18
17
Yards / Game
23
15
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
24
21

EPA

EPA / Play
25
19
EPA / Pass
26
19
EPA / Rush
25
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
31
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
2
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
22
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

IND logo

Colts

8-2
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-3
L
W
P
09/26
8
W
W
P
10/10
-3
L
L
P
10/17
3
W
W
P
10/24
21
W
W
P
10/31
10
W
W
P
11/07
8
W
W
P
11/14
8
W
W
P
11/21
27
W
W
P
11/28
7
W
P
P
MIA logo

Dolphins

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
3
W
L
P
10/04
-5
L
L
P
10/10
3
W
W
P
10/17
1
W
W
P
10/24
3
W
L
P
10/31
7
W
W
P
11/07
17
W
W
P
11/14
-20
L
L
P
11/21
10
W
W
P
11/25
-20
L
L
P