INDColts
4-7
6
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
6 mph
41
MIADolphins
8-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
74°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
3
3
0
6
Dolphins
7
13
0
21
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
366
Total Plays
51
65
Yards / Play
5.0
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.40
Passing Yards
170
183
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.50
Rushing Yards
84
183
Rush Attempts
18
38
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
24
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
5
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.31
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-8
Sack EPA
-1.17
-1.69
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
25
40
Penalty EPA
-4.71
-3.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
10
Yards / Game
2
6
Passing Yards / Game
6
5
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
7
12
EPA / Pass
9
12
EPA / Rush
7
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
24
Interceptions / Game
27
17
Fumbles / Game
24
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
14
4th Down Efficiency
4
13
RZ Efficiency
7
28
Dolphins Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
31
Yards / Game
25
29
Passing Yards / Game
26
11
Rushing Yards / Game
25
25
EPA
EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
13
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
22
Interceptions / Game
17
21
Fumbles / Game
31
23
Turnover EPA / Game
7
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
6
18
RZ Efficiency
13
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U