
INDColts
8-6
20
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
013
MIADolphins
9-4

TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
10
3
0
20
Dolphins
0
3
7
3
13
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
327
272
Total Plays
63
55
Yards / Play
5.2
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.02
Passing Yards
195
132
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
12/26(46%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.28
-0.19
Rushing Yards
132
140
Rush Attempts
35
26
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.06
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
20
14
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
47%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays


Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-2.84
-5.07
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-11
-18
Sack EPA
-1.49
-4.96
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
35
45
Penalty EPA
-1.31
-7.17
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Dolphins Defense


Total
Points / Game
4
5
Yards / Game
3
6
Passing Yards / Game
18
6
Rushing Yards / Game
15
16
EPA
EPA / Play
2
4
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
7
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
26
Interceptions / Game
8
2
Fumbles / Game
16
22
Turnover EPA / Game
20
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
5
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
4
8
Dolphins Offense vs Colts Defense


Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
23
22
Passing Yards / Game
24
8
Rushing Yards / Game
13
27
EPA
EPA / Play
21
21
EPA / Pass
16
14
EPA / Rush
20
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
31
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
8
28
Turnover EPA / Game
17
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
21
4th Down Efficiency
12
28
RZ Efficiency
6
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Colts
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

Dolphins
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U