INDColts
8-2
31
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
013
ATLFalcons
3-7
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
21
10
0
31
Falcons
10
3
0
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
250
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
5.8
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.19
Passing Yards
247
138
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
14/30(47%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.27
-0.38
Rushing Yards
118
112
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
13
Passing 1st downs
18
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
22%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.69
-9.89
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-25
-17
Sack EPA
-5.36
-3.60
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
55
41
Penalty EPA
-2.25
-6.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
3
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
20
26
EPA
EPA / Play
2
22
EPA / Pass
3
21
EPA / Rush
4
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
8
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
10
19
Falcons Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
23
3
Passing Yards / Game
5
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
14
EPA
EPA / Play
31
10
EPA / Pass
29
7
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
28
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
12
13
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
31
4th Down Efficiency
26
23
RZ Efficiency
29
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U