INDColts
-
28
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
85°F
16 mph
25
JAXJaguars
-
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
85°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
1
7
7
22
Jaguars
0
1
4
2
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
345
Total Plays
60
69
Yards / Play
5.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.55
Passing Yards
203
227
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.15
-0.69
Rushing Yards
104
118
Rush Attempts
28
32
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
64%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
9
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-0.77
-7.47
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-3
Sack EPA
-1.39
-1.29
Penalties
7
--
Penalty Yards
54
--
Penalty EPA
+1.30
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
14
20
Passing Yards / Game
20
20
Rushing Yards / Game
27
25
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
8
21
EPA / Rush
23
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
9
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
16
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
19
4th Down Efficiency
2
20
RZ Efficiency
19
12
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
25
8
Passing Yards / Game
26
8
Rushing Yards / Game
9
23
EPA
EPA / Play
32
12
EPA / Pass
30
10
EPA / Rush
32
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
30
Interceptions / Game
1
29
Fumbles / Game
3
6
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
15
4th Down Efficiency
5
14
RZ Efficiency
32
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U