INDColts
10-2
17
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
65°F
15 mph
44
JAXJaguars
7-5
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
65°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
7
0
7
17
Jaguars
7
17
13
7
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
447
Total Plays
72
57
Yards / Play
4.7
7.8
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.30
Passing Yards
305
72
Comp/Att
25/50(50%)
8/14(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.55
Rushing Yards
34
375
Rush Attempts
20
42
Yards / Rush
1.7
8.9
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
23
Passing 1st downs
15
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
16
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
44%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.58
-3.58
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-8
-7
Sack EPA
-2.95
-2.12
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
71
31
Penalty EPA
-7.85
-2.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
4
Yards / Game
2
2
Passing Yards / Game
22
11
Rushing Yards / Game
16
4
EPA
EPA / Play
2
3
EPA / Pass
1
3
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
6
6
Fumbles / Game
9
29
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
11
4th Down Efficiency
32
1
RZ Efficiency
4
6
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
18
Yards / Game
10
12
Passing Yards / Game
17
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
32
EPA
EPA / Play
11
27
EPA / Pass
17
14
EPA / Rush
2
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
32
Interceptions / Game
11
14
Fumbles / Game
2
6
Turnover EPA / Game
25
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
25
4th Down Efficiency
14
30
RZ Efficiency
9
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U