INDColts
10-4
31
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
4 mph
24
JAXJaguars
5-9
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
66°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
7
11
25
Jaguars
7
10
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
396
409
Total Plays
52
71
Yards / Play
7.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.39
+0.15
Passing Yards
--
304
Comp/Att
29/34(85%)
28/41(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.93
+0.12
Rushing Yards
32
105
Rush Attempts
18
27
Yards / Rush
1.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.49
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
28
Passing 1st downs
17
17
Rushing 1st downs
1
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
60%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-7.15
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-25
Sack EPA
--
-5.41
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
50
60
Penalty EPA
-4.46
-6.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
21
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
20
14
Rushing Yards / Game
31
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
2
30
EPA / Rush
23
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
8
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
21
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
1
25
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
20
11
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
18
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
21
EPA / Pass
19
9
EPA / Rush
6
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
29
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
20
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U