INDColts
7-3
41
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
09
DETLions
4-6
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
13
14
14
0
41
Lions
6
3
0
0
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
386
Total Plays
60
62
Yards / Play
5.9
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.25
Passing Yards
--
218
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.62
-0.48
Rushing Yards
113
168
Rush Attempts
29
21
Yards / Rush
3.9
8.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
5
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
+4.56
-14.60
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-6.95
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
40
60
Penalty EPA
-4.27
-8.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
18
Yards / Game
2
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
1
16
EPA / Pass
1
21
EPA / Rush
7
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
17
Interceptions / Game
2
22
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
30
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
27
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
3
18
Lions Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
19
Yards / Game
24
28
Passing Yards / Game
19
32
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
25
25
EPA / Rush
6
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
32
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
25
4th Down Efficiency
25
8
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U