INDColts
7-3
24
TBD
Lambeau Field
27°F
8 mph
26
GBPackers
4-6
TBD
Lambeau Field
27°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
0
3
21
24
Packers
3
14
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
432
Total Plays
65
66
Yards / Play
5.2
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.26
Passing Yards
267
282
Comp/Att
25/44(57%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.03
Rushing Yards
71
145
Rush Attempts
17
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
25
Passing 1st downs
18
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
42%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.85
+1.08
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-27
-14
Sack EPA
-4.84
-2.22
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
69
46
Penalty EPA
-3.92
-4.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
13
Yards / Game
3
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
17
Rushing Yards / Game
15
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
20
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
7
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
21
Interceptions / Game
8
7
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
20
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
13
4th Down Efficiency
1
23
RZ Efficiency
4
21
Packers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
16
Yards / Game
14
22
Passing Yards / Game
3
8
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
7
21
EPA / Pass
14
14
EPA / Rush
8
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
31
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
26
28
Turnover EPA / Game
18
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
13
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U