INDColts
6-0
31
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
69°F
8 mph
7
CARPanthers
4-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
7
14
7
31
Panthers
7
0
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
293
Total Plays
64
78
Yards / Play
6.2
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.29
-0.12
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
15/32(47%)
28/45(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.15
-0.18
Rushing Yards
131
108
Rush Attempts
32
33
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
50%
48%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
12
21
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
+2.00
-7.40
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
27
55
Penalty EPA
-0.45
-5.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
16
Yards / Game
3
15
Passing Yards / Game
23
1
Rushing Yards / Game
20
18
EPA
EPA / Play
2
17
EPA / Pass
3
18
EPA / Rush
4
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
16
Interceptions / Game
11
24
Fumbles / Game
4
3
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
25
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
10
16
Panthers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
29
3
Passing Yards / Game
30
3
Rushing Yards / Game
14
14
EPA
EPA / Play
27
10
EPA / Pass
23
7
EPA / Rush
21
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
28
Interceptions / Game
19
2
Fumbles / Game
19
13
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
31
4th Down Efficiency
19
23
RZ Efficiency
18
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U