INDColts
1-0
28
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
68°F
10 mph
31
NEPatriots
1-0
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
68°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
14
0
0
28
Patriots
0
7
7
17
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
400
Total Plays
61
70
Yards / Play
5.6
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.02
Passing Yards
--
280
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
27/44(61%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.23
Rushing Yards
121
108
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
26
Passing 1st downs
11
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
40%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-10.50
-3.59
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-7
Sack EPA
--
-1.23
Penalties
7
15
Penalty Yards
59
135
Penalty EPA
-1.72
-8.88
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
7
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
2
13
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
3
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
24
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
15
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
19
15
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
17
Yards / Game
18
15
Passing Yards / Game
4
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
20
19
EPA / Rush
24
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
26
30
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
12
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
27
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
1-0
SU
1-0
ATS
0-0-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Patriots
1-0
SU
1-0
ATS
0-0-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U