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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. colts @ ravens week 1, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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IND logo
INDColts
-
24
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
5 mph
7
BALRavens
-
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
3
14
1
18
Ravens
0
0
0
7
7

Game Statistics

General
Colts logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
340
401
Total Plays
62
78
Yards / Play
5.5
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.23
Passing Yards
--
324
Comp/Att
21/36(58%)
34/54(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.20
Rushing Yards
86
77
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Colts logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
12
17
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
25%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Colts logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-19.17
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-31
Sack EPA
--
-9.21
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
45
45
Penalty EPA
-3.26
-5.03

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
IND logo
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Colts Offense vs Ravens Defense
Colts logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
2
10
Yards / Game
3
3
Passing Yards / Game
11
9
Rushing Yards / Game
19
9

EPA

EPA / Play
1
4
EPA / Pass
1
2
EPA / Rush
9
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
9
Interceptions / Game
5
25
Fumbles / Game
5
9
Turnover EPA / Game
30
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
10
4th Down Efficiency
8
6
RZ Efficiency
7
5
Ravens Offense vs Colts Defense
Ravens logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
25
2
Yards / Game
23
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
20
15

EPA

EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
29
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
32
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
27
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

IND logo

Colts

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/14
35
W
W
P
11/21
31
W
W
P
11/25
32
W
W
P
12/05
27
W
W
P
12/12
9
W
L
P
12/19
10
W
W
P
12/26
3
W
L
P
01/02
-19
L
L
P
01/09
25
W
W
P
01/16
-17
L
L
P
BAL logo

Ravens

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/31
-5
L
W
P
11/07
14
W
W
P
11/14
3
W
W
P
11/21
20
W
W
P
11/28
-21
L
L
P
12/05
-1
L
L
P
12/12
23
W
W
P
12/19
-10
L
L
P
12/26
-13
L
L
P
01/02
7
W
L
P