INDColts
3-0
55
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
021
NOSaints
1-2
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
10
24
1
49
Saints
0
10
3
8
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
365
Total Plays
56
64
Yards / Play
7.5
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.50
-0.23
Passing Yards
318
210
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
11.8
5.7
EPA / Pass
+1.03
-0.46
Rushing Yards
100
155
Rush Attempts
28
25
Yards / Rush
3.6
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
64%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-24.41
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-20
Sack EPA
-1.19
-14.59
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
50
Penalty EPA
--
-6.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
14
Yards / Game
2
18
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
27
EPA
EPA / Play
2
15
EPA / Pass
1
14
EPA / Rush
13
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
15
Interceptions / Game
4
20
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
15
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
10
15
Saints Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
19
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
7
1
Rushing Yards / Game
10
20
EPA
EPA / Play
14
29
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
22
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
29
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
31
RZ Efficiency
11
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U