INDColts
4-4
20
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
034
NOSaints
4-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
3
0
3
20
Saints
0
17
7
10
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
378
Total Plays
51
63
Yards / Play
6.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.31
Passing Yards
--
221
Comp/Att
18/28(64%)
19/22(86%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.0
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.35
Rushing Yards
77
157
Rush Attempts
23
37
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.20
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.34
--
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-28
Sack EPA
--
-6.09
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
77
51
Penalty EPA
-3.64
-0.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
2
17
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
7
13
EPA
EPA / Play
7
25
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
7
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
27
21
Fumbles / Game
24
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
4
1
RZ Efficiency
7
30
Saints Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
31
Yards / Game
10
29
Passing Yards / Game
9
11
Rushing Yards / Game
19
25
EPA
EPA / Play
20
31
EPA / Pass
16
28
EPA / Rush
28
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
22
Interceptions / Game
25
21
Fumbles / Game
15
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
18
RZ Efficiency
12
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U