INDColts
4-4
24
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
44°F
11 mph
20
PITSteelers
6-2
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
44°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
3
7
24
Steelers
7
10
0
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
290
326
Total Plays
61
70
Yards / Play
4.8
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.03
Passing Yards
228
271
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
30/42(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.03
Rushing Yards
62
55
Rush Attempts
19
26
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
56%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
9
10
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-9.37
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-13
Sack EPA
-2.43
-2.79
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
45
20
Penalty EPA
-4.14
-2.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
2
Yards / Game
15
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
15
Rushing Yards / Game
31
1
EPA
EPA / Play
4
2
EPA / Pass
2
2
EPA / Rush
23
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
4
Interceptions / Game
6
6
Fumbles / Game
1
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
1
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Steelers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
7
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
16
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
25
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
28
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
29
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
15
8
Turnover EPA / Game
25
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
31
4th Down Efficiency
32
16
RZ Efficiency
14
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
4-6
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U