INDColts
1-1
23
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
03
HOUTexans
1-1
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
6
0
10
23
Texans
0
0
3
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
204
Total Plays
58
56
Yards / Play
5.8
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.45
Passing Yards
251
78
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.60
Rushing Yards
88
126
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
10
Passing 1st downs
10
1
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
46%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-8.08
-6.74
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-21
-21
Sack EPA
-4.11
-5.27
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
45
67
Penalty EPA
-5.70
-7.27
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
18
Yards / Game
14
15
Passing Yards / Game
20
1
Rushing Yards / Game
27
28
EPA
EPA / Play
20
3
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
23
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
1
Interceptions / Game
22
26
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
16
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
7
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
19
7
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
11
Yards / Game
32
8
Passing Yards / Game
30
8
Rushing Yards / Game
31
23
EPA
EPA / Play
31
12
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
31
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
30
Interceptions / Game
12
29
Fumbles / Game
15
6
Turnover EPA / Game
20
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
15
4th Down Efficiency
24
14
RZ Efficiency
27
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
1-1
SU
1-1
ATS
0-0-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U