INDColts
9-3
23
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
014
HOUTexans
5-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
0
3
6
23
Texans
0
7
7
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
382
273
Total Plays
65
54
Yards / Play
5.9
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.02
Passing Yards
281
125
Comp/Att
26/33(79%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.50
+0.01
Rushing Yards
101
148
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
3.4
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
36%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.26
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-17
-42
Sack EPA
-3.01
-8.87
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
50
30
Penalty EPA
-3.93
-3.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
15
Yards / Game
2
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
25
Rushing Yards / Game
21
12
EPA
EPA / Play
1
15
EPA / Pass
1
18
EPA / Rush
7
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
6
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
19
Yards / Game
19
28
Passing Yards / Game
17
32
Rushing Yards / Game
13
26
EPA
EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
14
25
EPA / Rush
20
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
32
Interceptions / Game
11
12
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
25
4th Down Efficiency
5
8
RZ Efficiency
8
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U