INDColts
11-3
24
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
027
HOUTexans
4-10
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
3
7
24
Texans
14
7
0
6
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
354
Total Plays
45
65
Yards / Play
7.1
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.41
+0.29
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
16/23(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.61
+0.35
Rushing Yards
114
191
Rush Attempts
18
42
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
75%
71%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.54
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.77
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
2
24
Passing Yards / Game
22
23
Rushing Yards / Game
16
19
EPA
EPA / Play
2
28
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
10
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
10
Interceptions / Game
6
28
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
22
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
30
4th Down Efficiency
32
11
RZ Efficiency
4
18
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
28
12
Passing Yards / Game
23
2
Rushing Yards / Game
21
32
EPA
EPA / Play
23
27
EPA / Pass
22
14
EPA / Rush
12
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
32
Interceptions / Game
7
14
Fumbles / Game
17
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
25
4th Down Efficiency
5
30
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U