INDColts
11-4
20
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
017
HOUTexans
5-10
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
3
0
17
20
Texans
0
10
7
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
204
Total Plays
77
45
Yards / Play
5.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.14
Passing Yards
211
--
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
13/23(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.41
Rushing Yards
207
99
Rush Attempts
38
22
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
10
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
12
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
47%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.10
-4.69
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.55
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
60
40
Penalty EPA
-10.89
-3.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
2
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
8
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
1
31
EPA / Rush
13
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
17
Interceptions / Game
4
20
Fumbles / Game
12
27
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
10
8
Texans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
19
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
20
EPA
EPA / Play
26
29
EPA / Pass
23
18
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
29
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
31
RZ Efficiency
3
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U