INDColts
10-1
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
40°F
11 mph
20
TENTitans
4-7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
40°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
0
3
17
Titans
0
10
0
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
446
382
Total Plays
57
60
Yards / Play
7.8
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.17
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.60
+0.01
Rushing Yards
95
219
Rush Attempts
29
35
Yards / Rush
3.3
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
58%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.35
-8.04
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
59
34
Penalty EPA
-0.36
-5.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
31
Yards / Game
2
32
Passing Yards / Game
22
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
29
EPA / Pass
1
27
EPA / Rush
10
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
6
15
Fumbles / Game
9
22
Turnover EPA / Game
22
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
20
4th Down Efficiency
32
26
RZ Efficiency
4
30
Titans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
18
Yards / Game
27
12
Passing Yards / Game
28
2
Rushing Yards / Game
5
32
EPA
EPA / Play
18
27
EPA / Pass
28
14
EPA / Rush
7
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
32
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
17
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
25
4th Down Efficiency
22
30
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U