INDColts
8-4
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
42°F
3 mph
27
TENTitans
7-5
TBD
Nissan Stadium
42°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
10
0
7
17
Titans
7
14
0
6
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
348
Total Plays
67
57
Yards / Play
5.8
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.26
Passing Yards
297
229
Comp/Att
26/42(62%)
19/23(83%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
10.0
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.52
Rushing Yards
92
119
Rush Attempts
24
33
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
17
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
64%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
9
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.41
-4.12
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
-0.42
-1.54
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
--
19
Penalty EPA
--
-2.10
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
16
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
20
26
Rushing Yards / Game
27
2
EPA
EPA / Play
20
18
EPA / Pass
8
22
EPA / Rush
23
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
31
Interceptions / Game
22
18
Fumbles / Game
17
25
Turnover EPA / Game
16
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
12
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
19
24
Titans Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
11
Yards / Game
16
8
Passing Yards / Game
16
8
Rushing Yards / Game
11
23
EPA
EPA / Play
14
12
EPA / Pass
5
10
EPA / Rush
15
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
30
Interceptions / Game
16
29
Fumbles / Game
18
6
Turnover EPA / Game
22
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
15
4th Down Efficiency
15
14
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U