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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ 49ers week 15, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
4-9
26
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
0
16
SF49ers
2-11
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
10
3
0
20
49ers
7
0
0
7
14

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
337
254
Total Plays
68
57
Yards / Play
5.0
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.34
Passing Yards
209
199
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
20/38(53%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.45
Rushing Yards
128
55
Rush Attempts
40
18
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
17
15
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
44%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.18
-21.86
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-7
Sack EPA
-1.86
-0.64
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
93
--
Penalty EPA
+3.65
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs 49ers Defense
Commanders logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
31
32
Yards / Game
30
24
Passing Yards / Game
24
19
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21

EPA

EPA / Play
29
24
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
27
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
3
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
23
4th Down Efficiency
27
26
RZ Efficiency
17
26
49ers Offense vs Commanders Defense
49ers logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
30
4
Yards / Game
26
3
Passing Yards / Game
14
12
Rushing Yards / Game
30
1

EPA

EPA / Play
30
4
EPA / Pass
28
5
EPA / Rush
30
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
15
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
31
25
Turnover EPA / Game
2
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
2
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
26
15

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-4
L
L
P
10/10
-7
L
L
P
10/17
3
W
W
P
10/31
-14
L
L
P
11/07
7
W
W
P
11/14
-7
L
L
P
11/21
-22
L
L
P
11/28
-9
L
W
P
12/05
24
W
W
P
12/12
-3
L
W
P
SF logo

49ers

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-10
L
L
P
10/10
3
W
W
P
10/17
-8
L
W
P
10/31
-10
L
L
P
11/07
-15
L
L
P
11/14
-10
L
L
P
11/21
-32
L
L
P
11/28
-7
L
L
P
12/05
-10
L
W
P
12/12
3
W
W
P