WASCommanders
5-9
24
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
22 mph
27
CHIBears
6-8
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
22 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
10
7
0
7
24
Bears
10
0
14
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
429
Total Plays
46
74
Yards / Play
6.2
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.08
Passing Yards
242
238
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.51
-0.01
Rushing Yards
44
191
Rush Attempts
18
40
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.32
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
25
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
11%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
1
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
17
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.74
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-3
-11
Sack EPA
-0.93
-2.63
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
50
33
Penalty EPA
-3.75
-1.62
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
21
Yards / Game
23
14
Passing Yards / Game
15
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
16
EPA
EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
19
19
EPA / Rush
15
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
4
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
19
32
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
6
9
RZ Efficiency
14
16
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
24
Yards / Game
28
25
Passing Yards / Game
14
7
Rushing Yards / Game
18
25
EPA
EPA / Play
24
28
EPA / Pass
31
22
EPA / Rush
8
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
4
Interceptions / Game
25
12
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
17
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
24
4th Down Efficiency
2
32
RZ Efficiency
18
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U