WASCommanders
7-6
13
TBD
Paycor Stadium
49°F
15 mph
20
CINBengals
1-11
TBD
Paycor Stadium
49°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
10
0
3
13
Bengals
14
3
0
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
280
310
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
--
204
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.08
Rushing Yards
113
106
Rush Attempts
32
33
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
25%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.46
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-3.52
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
75
41
Penalty EPA
+0.33
-3.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
19
Yards / Game
18
12
Passing Yards / Game
13
2
Rushing Yards / Game
8
20
EPA
EPA / Play
26
15
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
16
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
3
Interceptions / Game
1
23
Fumbles / Game
18
16
Turnover EPA / Game
28
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
10
RZ Efficiency
23
26
Bengals Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
5
Yards / Game
32
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
5
Rushing Yards / Game
29
8
EPA
EPA / Play
31
8
EPA / Pass
28
13
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
10
Interceptions / Game
17
18
Fumbles / Game
25
26
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
26
RZ Efficiency
26
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
1-8-1
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U