WASCommanders
3-0
19
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
50°F
7 mph
21
DENBroncos
3-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
50°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
3
0
9
19
Broncos
7
7
7
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
257
Total Plays
80
54
Yards / Play
5.6
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.06
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
30/54(56%)
10/26(38%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.19
Rushing Yards
125
165
Rush Attempts
26
28
Yards / Rush
4.8
5.9
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
11
Passing 1st downs
18
4
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.03
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
67
43
Penalty EPA
-7.78
-6.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
6
Yards / Game
19
19
Passing Yards / Game
25
4
Rushing Yards / Game
7
2
EPA
EPA / Play
11
13
EPA / Pass
11
15
EPA / Rush
14
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
30
Interceptions / Game
6
6
Fumbles / Game
29
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
11
18
RZ Efficiency
5
28
Broncos Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
9
Yards / Game
5
9
Passing Yards / Game
13
7
Rushing Yards / Game
3
12
EPA
EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
9
9
EPA / Rush
2
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
18
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
15
14
Turnover EPA / Game
31
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
2
6
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U