WASCommanders
3-5
17
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
44°F
11 mph
10
DENBroncos
5-4
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
44°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
0
14
17
Broncos
0
10
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
186
Total Plays
66
61
Yards / Play
3.7
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.25
Passing Yards
127
98
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
11/31(35%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.48
Rushing Yards
118
88
Rush Attempts
32
27
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
10
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
3
Turnover EPA
-6.88
+0.90
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-16
Sack EPA
-4.36
-4.28
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
54
57
Penalty EPA
-5.92
-6.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
21
Yards / Game
28
8
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
8
6
EPA
EPA / Play
27
18
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
12
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
4
8
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
21
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
24
13
RZ Efficiency
25
11
Broncos Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
22
10
Passing Yards / Game
24
9
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
14
11
EPA / Pass
18
9
EPA / Rush
11
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
17
Interceptions / Game
18
6
Fumbles / Game
8
12
Turnover EPA / Game
18
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
20
6
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U