WASCommanders
3-6
17
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
69°F
11 mph
20
TBBuccaneers
2-7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
69°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
0
7
7
17
Buccaneers
3
0
7
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
252
359
Total Plays
56
63
Yards / Play
4.5
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.09
Passing Yards
188
--
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.26
Rushing Yards
64
181
Rush Attempts
20
42
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
31%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.73
-7.16
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-2.64
--
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
19
35
Penalty EPA
-2.38
-3.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
22
Yards / Game
13
16
Passing Yards / Game
32
12
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
9
13
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
6
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
18
Interceptions / Game
4
28
Fumbles / Game
10
25
Turnover EPA / Game
29
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
19
10
RZ Efficiency
16
28
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
27
Yards / Game
29
30
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
26
EPA
EPA / Play
31
32
EPA / Pass
31
32
EPA / Rush
24
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
30
Interceptions / Game
20
32
Fumbles / Game
21
32
Turnover EPA / Game
7
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
31
29
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U