WASCommanders
5-5
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
8 mph
19
TBBuccaneers
6-4
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
7
3
13
Buccaneers
10
9
0
0
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
412
192
Total Plays
82
51
Yards / Play
5.0
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.15
Passing Yards
292
93
Comp/Att
30/49(61%)
11/23(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.42
Rushing Yards
120
99
Rush Attempts
31
25
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
9
Passing 1st downs
16
4
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
9
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-25.30
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-9
-22
Sack EPA
-5.19
-4.23
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
27
25
Penalty EPA
-2.17
-3.22
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
15
2
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
16
EPA
EPA / Play
20
4
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
14
Interceptions / Game
4
18
Fumbles / Game
29
3
Turnover EPA / Game
7
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
20
4th Down Efficiency
24
24
RZ Efficiency
20
29
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
12
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
21
24
Rushing Yards / Game
13
3
EPA
EPA / Play
16
8
EPA / Pass
15
6
EPA / Rush
11
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
21
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
18
24
Turnover EPA / Game
28
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
5
4th Down Efficiency
25
26
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U