WASCommanders
11-6
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
12 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
11-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
10
0
13
Buccaneers
0
0
7
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
167
191
Total Plays
56
61
Yards / Play
3.0
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.17
Passing Yards
118
147
Comp/Att
20/31(65%)
15/32(47%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.16
Rushing Yards
46
44
Rush Attempts
23
27
Yards / Rush
2.0
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
12
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
1
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
21%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.18
-3.69
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-28
-10
Sack EPA
-7.69
-0.45
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
61
25
Penalty EPA
-2.96
-0.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
2
Yards / Game
3
3
Passing Yards / Game
12
5
Rushing Yards / Game
5
4
EPA
EPA / Play
2
1
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
1
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
10
9
Fumbles / Game
9
20
Turnover EPA / Game
26
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
8
4th Down Efficiency
13
6
RZ Efficiency
6
1
Buccaneers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
23
Yards / Game
28
25
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
23
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
28
16
EPA / Rush
28
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
14
6
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
28
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U