WASCommanders
-
3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
8 mph
30
LACChargers
-
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
0
3
0
3
Chargers
4
10
0
10
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
161
255
Total Plays
52
65
Yards / Play
3.1
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.54
-0.03
Passing Yards
117
122
Comp/Att
15/32(47%)
10/18(56%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.44
-0.25
Rushing Yards
44
133
Rush Attempts
19
46
Yards / Rush
2.3
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.57
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
19
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
17%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-16.35
-12.63
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-7
Sack EPA
-0.54
-1.84
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
69
49
Penalty EPA
-6.19
-4.43
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
16
Yards / Game
28
11
Passing Yards / Game
28
27
Rushing Yards / Game
8
7
EPA
EPA / Play
27
19
EPA / Pass
27
23
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
4
11
Fumbles / Game
19
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
28
RZ Efficiency
25
17
Chargers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
11
10
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
22
19
EPA
EPA / Play
9
11
EPA / Pass
7
9
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
16
6
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
6
RZ Efficiency
29
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U