WAS logo
WAS
-
KC
-
KC logo
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Commanders logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
8
8
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
18
17
Rushing Yards / Game
2
22

EPA

EPA / Play
7
21
EPA / Pass
20
8
EPA / Rush
2
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
27
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
14
6
RZ Efficiency
3
11
Chiefs Offense vs Commanders Defense
Chiefs logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
16
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
30
Rushing Yards / Game
19
14

EPA

EPA / Play
8
22
EPA / Pass
10
27
EPA / Rush
4
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
11
Interceptions / Game
2
24
Fumbles / Game
1
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
6
4th Down Efficiency
3
15
RZ Efficiency
18
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
3
W
W
O
12/29
6
W
W
O
01/05
4
W
L
U
01/12
3
W
W
U
01/18
14
W
W
O
01/26
-32
L
L
O
09/07
15
W
W
U
09/11
-9
L
L
U
09/21
17
W
W
O
09/28
-7
L
L
O
KC logo

Chiefs

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
8
W
W
O
12/25
19
W
W
U
01/05
-38
L
L
U
01/18
9
W
L
U
01/26
3
W
W
O
02/09
-18
L
L
O
09/05
-6
L
L
O
09/14
-3
L
L
U
09/21
13
W
W
U
09/28
17
W
W
O