WASCommanders
2-4
22
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
036
INDColts
5-0
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
8
0
8
16
Colts
7
6
20
3
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
452
Total Plays
64
61
Yards / Play
5.1
7.4
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.26
Passing Yards
213
--
Comp/Att
27/38(71%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.57
Rushing Yards
114
110
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
12
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-3.52
--
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
91
27
Penalty EPA
-0.07
-2.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
18
Yards / Game
13
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
32
EPA
EPA / Play
9
27
EPA / Pass
12
14
EPA / Rush
6
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
32
Interceptions / Game
4
14
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
29
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
25
4th Down Efficiency
19
30
RZ Efficiency
16
31
Colts Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
27
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
22
9
Rushing Yards / Game
16
26
EPA
EPA / Play
2
32
EPA / Pass
1
32
EPA / Rush
10
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
30
Interceptions / Game
6
32
Fumbles / Game
9
32
Turnover EPA / Game
22
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
28
4th Down Efficiency
32
29
RZ Efficiency
4
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U