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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ eagles week 2, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
1-0
20
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
62°F
6 mph
12
PHIEagles
0-1
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
62°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
7
3
7
20
Eagles
0
6
3
3
12

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
337
340
Total Plays
63
69
Yards / Play
5.3
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.01
Passing Yards
207
226
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
28/46(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.13
Rushing Yards
130
114
Rush Attempts
33
20
Yards / Rush
3.9
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.76
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-2
-14
Sack EPA
-0.86
-4.99
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
--
15
Penalty EPA
--
-1.59

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Commanders logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
19
8
Yards / Game
15
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
19
Rushing Yards / Game
12
8

EPA

EPA / Play
20
16
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
32
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
4
31
Fumbles / Game
29
14
Turnover EPA / Game
7
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
9
4th Down Efficiency
24
2
RZ Efficiency
20
2
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Eagles logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
17
12
Yards / Game
6
9
Passing Yards / Game
1
24
Rushing Yards / Game
7
3

EPA

EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
14
6
EPA / Rush
3
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
9
22
Fumbles / Game
8
24
Turnover EPA / Game
22
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
5
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
25
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

4-6
SU
3-4-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
3
W
W
P
11/12
-24
L
L
P
11/19
-3
L
P
P
11/26
4
W
W
P
12/03
-10
L
L
P
12/10
-2
L
P
P
12/17
6
W
W
P
12/24
-6
L
L
P
12/30
-6
L
L
P
09/09
3
W
P
P
PHI logo

Eagles

6-4
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
-18
L
L
P
11/26
-24
L
L
P
12/04
3
W
W
P
12/10
2
W
P
P
12/17
14
W
W
P
12/25
16
W
W
P
12/31
7
W
P
P
01/07
3
W
L
P
01/13
-3
L
W
P
09/09
-3
L
L
P