WASCommanders
1-1
34
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
79°F
4 mph
37
PHIEagles
2-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
79°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
14
6
7
7
34
Eagles
7
14
6
10
37
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
511
379
Total Plays
76
66
Yards / Play
6.7
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.21
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
30/48(63%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.33
Rushing Yards
84
54
Rush Attempts
28
25
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
22
Passing 1st downs
18
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
5
3rd Down %
53%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.56
-4.36
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
131
70
Penalty EPA
-11.52
-5.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model72.2%
Spread Pick
Eagles-4.0
Expected Value
+19.2%
Cover Probability
61.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+215
Home nfelo
1,570
Away nfelo
1,446
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+57.1
Home QB Adjustment
+3.0
Away QB Adjustment
-54.1
Market Regression
-14.0
Final Difference
166.1
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-54.1
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+3.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
22
Yards / Game
13
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
7
Rushing Yards / Game
18
15
EPA
EPA / Play
23
7
EPA / Pass
25
17
EPA / Rush
18
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
19
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
32
4
RZ Efficiency
27
20
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
29
Yards / Game
4
19
Passing Yards / Game
19
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
12
EPA
EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
15
32
EPA / Rush
21
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
32
28
Fumbles / Game
31
16
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
24
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U