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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ eagles week 5, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
3-1
23
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
66°F
4 mph
17
PHIEagles
2-2
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
66°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
9
7
7
23
Eagles
8
0
0
3
11

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
388
254
Total Plays
75
47
Yards / Play
5.2
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.02
Passing Yards
185
--
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.10
Rushing Yards
203
58
Rush Attempts
44
18
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
22
14
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
58%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.33
--
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
24
33
Penalty EPA
-2.95
-4.76

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Commanders logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
28
4
Yards / Game
18
3
Passing Yards / Game
13
4
Rushing Yards / Game
8
9

EPA

EPA / Play
26
4
EPA / Pass
20
3
EPA / Rush
16
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
26
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
18
6
Turnover EPA / Game
28
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
2
4th Down Efficiency
5
6
RZ Efficiency
23
17
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Eagles logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
12
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
8

EPA

EPA / Play
14
8
EPA / Pass
11
13
EPA / Rush
24
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
22
18
Fumbles / Game
17
26
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
27
26
RZ Efficiency
24
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
-1
L
L
P
12/06
8
W
W
P
12/16
12
W
W
P
12/23
11
W
W
P
12/30
21
W
W
P
01/05
-21
L
L
P
09/04
-9
L
L
P
09/14
5
W
W
P
09/21
7
W
W
P
09/28
2
W
W
P
PHI logo

Eagles

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/25
-3
L
W
P
12/02
-4
L
L
P
12/09
-3
L
L
P
12/16
4
W
W
P
12/23
15
W
W
P
12/30
8
W
L
P
09/07
35
W
W
P
09/15
-4
L
W
P
09/21
9
W
W
P
09/28
-4
L
L
P