WASCommanders
3-5
3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
14 mph
27
PHIEagles
4-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
0
0
3
Eagles
10
7
4
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
278
365
Total Plays
63
61
Yards / Play
4.4
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.15
Passing Yards
--
220
Comp/Att
16/32(50%)
12/26(46%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.56
Rushing Yards
146
145
Rush Attempts
31
34
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
23%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.86
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-2
Sack EPA
--
-1.13
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
70
65
Penalty EPA
-8.76
-4.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
17
Yards / Game
13
19
Passing Yards / Game
32
4
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
9
15
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
6
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
25
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
10
18
Turnover EPA / Game
29
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
19
12
RZ Efficiency
16
14
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
27
Yards / Game
3
30
Passing Yards / Game
7
9
Rushing Yards / Game
10
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
7
32
EPA / Rush
4
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
30
Interceptions / Game
1
32
Fumbles / Game
15
32
Turnover EPA / Game
19
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
28
4th Down Efficiency
20
29
RZ Efficiency
12
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U