WASCommanders
3-6
6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
2 mph
28
PHIEagles
8-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
55°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
3
0
0
6
Eagles
7
0
7
14
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
213
334
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
3.7
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.25
+0.10
Passing Yards
162
208
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.40
Rushing Yards
51
126
Rush Attempts
23
31
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
25%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.22
-7.09
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
-0.44
-3.69
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
115
69
Penalty EPA
-10.23
-6.95
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
24
20
Rushing Yards / Game
20
14
EPA
EPA / Play
29
12
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
27
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
18
Interceptions / Game
17
16
Fumbles / Game
7
29
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
19
RZ Efficiency
17
10
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
4
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
2
12
Rushing Yards / Game
24
1
EPA
EPA / Play
7
4
EPA / Pass
7
5
EPA / Rush
13
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
15
Interceptions / Game
6
10
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
2
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
4
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U