WASCommanders
-
17
TBD
Giants Stadium
80°F
8 mph
23
NYGGiants
-
TBD
Giants Stadium
80°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
7
3
7
17
Giants
3
8
0
6
17
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
272
351
Total Plays
50
61
Yards / Play
5.4
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.04
Passing Yards
187
248
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.30
Rushing Yards
85
103
Rush Attempts
21
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-12.04
-8.59
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-24
-8
Sack EPA
-11.27
-4.04
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-3.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+145
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,495
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-5.4
Home QB Adjustment
-4.6
Away QB Adjustment
+0.8
Market Regression
+14.1
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+0.8
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
22
13
Passing Yards / Game
14
13
Rushing Yards / Game
28
13
EPA
EPA / Play
21
30
EPA / Pass
18
23
EPA / Rush
23
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
20
Interceptions / Game
16
22
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
24
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
27
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
17
Yards / Game
9
11
Passing Yards / Game
6
27
Rushing Yards / Game
17
15
EPA
EPA / Play
8
20
EPA / Pass
8
25
EPA / Rush
16
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
5
Interceptions / Game
10
26
Fumbles / Game
30
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
21
4th Down Efficiency
9
1
RZ Efficiency
20
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U