WASCommanders
5-2
25
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
017
DETLions
0-6
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
3
10
3
19
Lions
7
3
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
274
Total Plays
65
51
Yards / Play
6.8
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.15
Passing Yards
304
217
Comp/Att
23/29(79%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
10.5
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.47
+0.01
Rushing Yards
135
57
Rush Attempts
33
15
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
13
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
45%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.18
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-24
-6
Sack EPA
-6.31
-2.02
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
67
51
Penalty EPA
-10.63
-5.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
32
Yards / Game
18
32
Passing Yards / Game
13
30
Rushing Yards / Game
8
32
EPA
EPA / Play
26
31
EPA / Pass
20
32
EPA / Rush
16
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
2
Interceptions / Game
1
32
Fumbles / Game
18
9
Turnover EPA / Game
28
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
29
4th Down Efficiency
5
22
RZ Efficiency
23
31
Lions Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
5
Yards / Game
30
5
Passing Yards / Game
17
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
8
EPA / Pass
32
13
EPA / Rush
18
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
25
26
Turnover EPA / Game
20
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
26
RZ Efficiency
3
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U