WASCommanders
2-5
17
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
010
DETLions
4-3
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
3
8
0
11
Lions
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
229
322
Total Plays
58
78
Yards / Play
3.9
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.21
Passing Yards
--
258
Comp/Att
7/18(39%)
26/52(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.09
Rushing Yards
156
64
Rush Attempts
40
24
Yards / Rush
3.9
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
21%
28%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
18
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.27
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-2.24
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
75
40
Penalty EPA
-8.31
-4.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
18
Yards / Game
30
20
Passing Yards / Game
24
11
Rushing Yards / Game
20
16
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
24
21
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
17
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
7
21
Turnover EPA / Game
16
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
27
9
RZ Efficiency
17
18
Lions Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
4
Yards / Game
24
3
Passing Yards / Game
19
12
Rushing Yards / Game
18
1
EPA
EPA / Play
24
4
EPA / Pass
25
5
EPA / Rush
6
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
15
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
1
25
Turnover EPA / Game
29
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
30
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U