WASCommanders
2-3
9
TBD
Lambeau Field
44°F
15 mph
30
GBPackers
5-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
44°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
3
3
0
9
Packers
7
10
0
13
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
238
243
Total Plays
64
55
Yards / Play
3.7
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.08
Passing Yards
92
155
Comp/Att
10/24(42%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.79
-0.14
Rushing Yards
146
88
Rush Attempts
34
25
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
3
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
6
3
3rd Down %
30%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
4
1
Turnover EPA
-16.93
-2.66
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-43
-12
Sack EPA
-14.58
-2.03
Penalties
10
11
Penalty Yards
93
95
Penalty EPA
-12.52
-12.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
12
Yards / Game
21
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
24
EPA
EPA / Play
26
8
EPA / Pass
23
2
EPA / Rush
17
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
24
Interceptions / Game
23
4
Fumbles / Game
25
2
Turnover EPA / Game
3
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
5
4th Down Efficiency
17
5
RZ Efficiency
6
17
Packers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
19
Yards / Game
12
4
Passing Yards / Game
8
16
Rushing Yards / Game
14
12
EPA
EPA / Play
19
6
EPA / Pass
17
6
EPA / Rush
19
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
12
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
19
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
3
RZ Efficiency
18
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U