WASCommanders
4-2
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
55°F
15 mph
52
NEPatriots
7-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
55°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
0
0
7
7
Patriots
7
17
8
14
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
224
486
Total Plays
56
77
Yards / Play
4.0
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.37
+0.33
Passing Yards
177
334
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
31/41(76%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.44
+0.47
Rushing Yards
47
152
Rush Attempts
16
35
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
34
Passing 1st downs
10
21
Rushing 1st downs
3
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
17%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
86%
Red Zone Conversions
1
6
Red Zone Attempts
2
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-16.31
-4.45
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-20
--
Sack EPA
-14.76
-4.45
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
15
5
Passing Yards / Game
7
21
Rushing Yards / Game
12
9
EPA
EPA / Play
20
12
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
32
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
24
Interceptions / Game
4
6
Fumbles / Game
29
17
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
4
4th Down Efficiency
24
25
RZ Efficiency
20
20
Patriots Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
1
9
Passing Yards / Game
8
24
Rushing Yards / Game
11
3
EPA
EPA / Play
1
8
EPA / Pass
1
6
EPA / Rush
2
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
21
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
3
24
Turnover EPA / Game
32
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
26
RZ Efficiency
2
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
5-5
SU
3-4-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U