WASCommanders
6-4
33
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
020
LARRams
8-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
10
12
6
31
Rams
10
3
7
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
400
394
Total Plays
67
56
Yards / Play
6.0
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.10
Passing Yards
262
319
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
8.6
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.13
Rushing Yards
138
50
Rush Attempts
32
14
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
42%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
29%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-4.63
-12.19
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-7
-22
Sack EPA
-2.21
-7.35
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
67
52
Penalty EPA
-5.04
-2.78
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
31
Yards / Game
11
23
Passing Yards / Game
10
30
Rushing Yards / Game
20
10
EPA
EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
11
27
EPA / Rush
24
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
11
Interceptions / Game
25
11
Fumbles / Game
13
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
16
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Rams Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
7
Yards / Game
1
5
Passing Yards / Game
1
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
21
EPA
EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
1
3
EPA / Rush
1
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
24
Interceptions / Game
29
12
Fumbles / Game
4
7
Turnover EPA / Game
6
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
8
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U