WASCommanders
4-9
16
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
010
NOSaints
9-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
10
3
0
3
16
Saints
0
7
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
270
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
5.9
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.07
Passing Yards
193
199
Comp/Att
13/28(46%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.00
Rushing Yards
161
71
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.01
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-11
-8
Sack EPA
-2.82
-2.45
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
19
Yards / Game
13
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
10
Rushing Yards / Game
4
24
EPA
EPA / Play
9
18
EPA / Pass
12
15
EPA / Rush
6
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
26
Interceptions / Game
4
30
Fumbles / Game
10
30
Turnover EPA / Game
29
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
5
4th Down Efficiency
19
21
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Saints Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
27
Yards / Game
1
30
Passing Yards / Game
3
9
Rushing Yards / Game
19
26
EPA
EPA / Play
6
32
EPA / Pass
3
32
EPA / Rush
15
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
30
Interceptions / Game
5
32
Fumbles / Game
24
32
Turnover EPA / Game
15
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
28
4th Down Efficiency
11
29
RZ Efficiency
10
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U