WASCommanders
3-7
7
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
38°F
15 mph
16
PITSteelers
9-1
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
38°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
0
7
0
7
Steelers
3
10
0
3
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
156
207
Total Plays
54
62
Yards / Play
2.9
3.3
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.13
Passing Yards
105
100
Comp/Att
19/35(54%)
9/20(45%)
Yards / Pass
3.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.21
Rushing Yards
51
107
Rush Attempts
14
38
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
15
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
15%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.56
--
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-33
-31
Sack EPA
-7.36
-6.77
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
68
59
Penalty EPA
-7.84
-6.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
6
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
2
EPA
EPA / Play
29
5
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
27
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
21
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
16
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
5
4th Down Efficiency
27
22
RZ Efficiency
17
7
Steelers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
4
Yards / Game
13
3
Passing Yards / Game
26
12
Rushing Yards / Game
2
1
EPA
EPA / Play
12
4
EPA / Pass
12
5
EPA / Rush
14
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
15
Interceptions / Game
14
10
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
18
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
2
4th Down Efficiency
8
12
RZ Efficiency
25
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U