WASCommanders
7-7
32
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
021
MINVikings
8-6
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
13
3
7
30
Vikings
0
0
7
14
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
367
299
Total Plays
65
67
Yards / Play
5.6
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.23
Passing Yards
261
212
Comp/Att
23/31(74%)
25/41(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.52
-0.30
Rushing Yards
106
87
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
43%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.26
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-8
-8
Sack EPA
-2.63
-2.47
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
52
40
Penalty EPA
-9.58
-3.73
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
10
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
7
32
Rushing Yards / Game
12
1
EPA
EPA / Play
20
3
EPA / Pass
12
16
EPA / Rush
32
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
13
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
8
RZ Efficiency
20
5
Vikings Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
12
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
26
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
3
EPA
EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
21
6
EPA / Rush
5
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
21
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
26
24
Turnover EPA / Game
9
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
5
4th Down Efficiency
13
26
RZ Efficiency
4
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U