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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ 49ers week 3, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
1-1
34
TBD
Candlestick Park
72°F
0
31
SF49ers
1-1
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
72°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
12
7
15
34
49ers
7
11
7
0
25

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
445
390
Total Plays
74
61
Yards / Play
6.0
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.02
Passing Yards
350
266
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.05
Rushing Yards
95
124
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.83
-11.09
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-3
Sack EPA
-5.03
-2.11
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
45
67
Penalty EPA
-2.97
-4.59

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs 49ers Defense
Cowboys logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
15
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
12
32
Rushing Yards / Game
13
18

EPA

EPA / Play
15
24
EPA / Pass
10
32
EPA / Rush
24
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
5
Interceptions / Game
22
14
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
12
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
22
RZ Efficiency
13
16
49ers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
49ers logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
30
12
Yards / Game
32
10
Passing Yards / Game
31
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
14

EPA

EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
4
EPA / Rush
19
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
4
Interceptions / Game
27
20
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
15
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
27
RZ Efficiency
29
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/15
-28
L
L
P
11/21
-20
L
L
P
11/25
14
W
W
P
12/06
4
W
W
P
12/12
-14
L
L
P
12/19
-5
L
W
P
12/26
3
W
W
P
01/02
-4
L
L
P
09/11
4
W
W
P
09/19
-1
L
L
P
SF logo

49ers

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/14
-10
L
L
P
11/21
-32
L
L
P
11/28
-7
L
L
P
12/05
-10
L
W
P
12/12
3
W
W
P
12/18
-10
L
L
P
12/26
-34
L
L
P
01/02
-14
L
L
P
09/11
3
W
W
P
09/18
-39
L
L
P